07/04/2009 - Minneapolis, MN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Nick Punto's RBI single in the eighth inning helped the Minnesota Twins take a 4-3 win over the Detroit Tigers in the second of a three-game set at the Metrodome.
Justin Morneau went 4-for-4 with a solo home run and two RBI, and Michael Cuddyer added a solo shot for the Twins, who have won three of their last four.
Francisco Liriano had a solid start as he gave up three runs and five hits with two walks and eight strikeouts over seven innings of work. Matt Guerrier (4-0) got the win for throwing a perfect eighth inning.
Magglio Ordonez clubbed a three-run homer to provide the offense for the Tigers, who have dropped five of their last eight.
Edwin Jackson threw 6 1/3 innings and was charged with three runs and six hits with four walks and nine strikeouts. Brandon Lyon (3-4) suffered the loss after working 1 1/3 innings.
"It was just one of those days where things didn't go our way," said Jackson. "I didn't have my best stuff. I'm a competitor and always compete, but this was just one of those days where it didn't work out."
With the score tied at 3-3 in the eighth inning, Minnesota grabbed the lead. Brian Buscher led off with a single and moved to second on a groundout from Jose Morales. Matt Tolbert then came in to pinch-run for Buscher and Punto singled to left, allowing Tolbert to score for a 4-3 lead.
"I saw the ball off the bat and knew I would have a chance to score," said Tolbert. "Once I took off if he would have caught it I would have been doubled off, but I knew it had enough on it to get into the outfield."
Joe Nathan came on in the ninth and shut things down with a 1-2-3 inning to pick up his 22nd save of the season.
The Twins grabbed the lead in the fourth when Cuddyer led off the frame with his 13th home run of the season, a shot over the left field wall.
Morneau's solo homer with two outs in the fifth extended the Twins' lead to 2-0.
Liriano, meanwhile, stymied the Detroit hitters through the first six innings.
After walking Dusty Ryan with two outs in the second, Liriano retired the next 13 batters he faced.
However, Detroit finally figured out Liriano in the seventh and took the lead. Marcus Thames led off with a single and Ryan Raburn followed with a single. After Brandon Inge struck out, Ordonez launched a pitch over the wall in left-center for a 3-2 lead.
Minnesota, though, evened the score in the bottom of the inning. Denard Span led off with a walk, but then Brendan Harris struck out.
Bobby Seay then took over on the mound, but gave up back-to-back singles to Joe Mauer and Morneau, with Morneau's single plating Span.
Game Notes
Minnesota has won five of the seven matchups with Detroit this season...The Twins left 10 men on base...Morneau has 20 home runs on the season...Attendance was 27,238.
<< Moyer, bullpen help Phils take down Mets
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jamie Moyer pitched into the seventh
inning and the Philadelphia bullpen did the rest, helping the Phillies upend
the Mets 4-1 in the second of a three-game series between the NL East rivals.
Moyer
<< Lincecum again dominant; Giants continue to pound Astros pitching
San Francisco, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Tim Lincecum fired seven innings of
three-hit shutout ball, and the Giants bats produced a second straight solid
effort in a 9-0 win against the Astros.
Lincecum (9-2), fresh off being named the
<< Angels bring back Kendrick; option Rodriguez
Anaheim, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Angels have recalled infielder Howie
Kendrick from Triple-A Salt Lake and optioned infielder Sean Rodriguez back to
the club's top affiliate.
The move reverses a transaction originally made on Jun
<< Posada's RBI single in 12th helps Yanks down Jays
Bronx, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jorge Posada's single in the bottom of the 12th
inning lifted the New York Yankees to a 6-5 win over Toronto in the second of
a four-game set from Yankee Stadium.
Posada also hit a homer and finished with two
DeLaet leads Edmonton Open by two >>
Edmonton, AB (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Graham DeLaet posted a two-under 70 Saturday
to take a two-stroke lead after three rounds of the Edmonton Open.
DeLaet, who shared the second-round lead with Brady Stockton and Jim Rutledge,
completed 54 hol
Marlins get by Pirates >>
Miami, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Emilio Bonifacio went 3-for-4 with two runs
scored to help the Florida Marlins take a 5-3 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates
in the second game of a three-game set.
Hanley Ramirez went 2-for-4 with a two-run
Valbuena and Francisco help Indians past A's >>
Cleveland, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Luis Valbuena and Ben Francisco each went 3-
for-3, with Valbuena knocking in a run and scoring twice and Francisco adding
a two-run homer in Cleveland's 5-2 win over Oakland.
Carl Pavano (7-7) evened his
Blue Jays place P Richmond on DL >>
Bronx, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Toronto Blue Jays placed pitcher Scott
Richmond on the 15-day disabled list, retroactive to July 1, with a sore
shoulder.
Richmond is 6-5 with a 3.69 earned-run average in 16 games, 13 starts,
(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).
The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
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